Tuesday, February 23, 2010

Troubling Indicators for Democrats in 2010

Gallup has started listing “Election 2010 Key Indicators” on their politics page. Two of these indicators might be troubling for Democrats.

First, they find a 12-point enthusiasm gap between Republicans and Democrats. We’ve mentioned this general trend before, but it is nice to have measured figures on it for once. I happen to think we can close that gap, but it won’t be easy.

Second, they find independents are supporting GOP candidates over Democrats 47%-31% for the generic congressional ballot. I usually don’t put much faith in the merits of the generic ballot, as people typically don’t vote for the party as much as they do for the individual candidate, but the size of the gap is something to watch.

No comments: